Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.010146 0.012093 0.014475 0.017662 0.021901 0.027483 0.035636
2025-07-27 0.007694 0.009932 0.013014 0.017753 0.025240 0.037397 0.060688
2025-08-03 0.006399 0.008692 0.012100 0.017880 0.028271 0.048343 0.098077
2025-08-10 0.005409 0.007601 0.011037 0.017282 0.029661 0.057212 0.143792
2025-08-17 0.004616 0.006642 0.009936 0.016232 0.029669 0.063187 0.193680
2025-08-24 0.004044 0.005932 0.009098 0.015417 0.029805 0.069711 0.263695
2025-08-31 0.003752 0.005631 0.008900 0.015776 0.032781 0.087194 0.460440
2025-09-07 0.003407 0.005192 0.008376 0.015319 0.033533 0.098497 0.704209
2025-09-14 0.003094 0.004771 0.007821 0.014664 0.033495 0.107170 1.037657
2025-09-21 0.002897 0.004531 0.007575 0.014654 0.035368 0.127216 2.034453
2025-09-28 0.002792 0.004446 0.007618 0.015339 0.039830 0.169509 7.421573
2025-10-05 0.002754 0.004478 0.007900 0.016707 0.047659 0.258072 317.748139
2025-10-12 0.002628 0.004346 0.007858 0.017328 0.053796 0.372506 NaN
2025-10-19 0.002471 0.004140 0.007628 0.017389 0.057894 0.503945 NaN
2025-10-26 0.002337 0.003963 0.007436 0.017510 0.062603 0.708639 NaN
2025-11-02 0.002176 0.003717 0.007050 0.016929 0.063261 0.858293 NaN
2025-11-09 0.002008 0.003442 0.006562 0.015909 0.060779 0.908608 NaN
2025-11-16 0.001868 0.003215 0.006166 0.015115 0.059250 0.996799 NaN
2025-11-23 0.001802 0.003136 0.006116 0.015465 0.065321 1.614138 NaN
2025-11-30 0.001702 0.002977 0.005852 0.015020 0.065808 2.017574 NaN
2025-12-07 0.001602 0.002811 0.005552 0.014383 0.064514 2.298337 NaN
2025-12-14 0.001538 0.002719 0.005431 0.014373 0.068082 3.586053 NaN
2025-12-21 0.001509 0.002698 0.005487 0.015039 0.078204 9.833704 NaN